Dubai (news now) – 12/02/2022. 04:42
What are the risks of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on global food security?
- The Ukraine crisis will threaten the food security of a number of countries in the world that depend on Ukraine for their food exports
- Ukraine is the fifth largest wheat exporter in the world with exports reaching 18 million tons out of a total production of 24 million tons in 2020.
- Any Russian invasion of Ukraine could reduce Ukraine’s wheat production and could lead to a global food crisis
It seems that the Ukrainian crisis will not be lost on the neighboring countries or on Europe Rather, it will reflect on the world, and threaten the food security of a number of countries in the world that depend on Ukraine for their food exports.
It is worth noting the importance of Ukraine’s wheat exports, which amounted to 18 million tons out of a total production of 24 million tons in 2020, which made it the fifth largest exporter of wheat in the world. Ukrainian wheat is of great importance to the developing world. For example, it was Half of Lebanon’s wheat imports in 2020 are from Ukraine.
If a possible attack turns on Ukraine To a Russian land grab, this could mean sharp declines in wheat production and exports, as farmers flee, leaving infrastructure and equipment in ruins, crippling the region’s economy.
Also, any Russian invasion of Ukraine may reduce Ukraine’s wheat production, and may lead to a global food crisis, which requires the governments of countries to develop appropriate alternatives to avoid food insecurity, and the non-affected countries should develop a plan to provide food support to countries dependent on food “Kiev” as the affected countries adopt new policies aimed at improving agricultural productivity and achieving self-sufficiency.
Says food security and emergency expert d. Fadel Al-Zoubi for Studio Now The rise in wheat prices due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine will cost us billions of dollars and donor countries must provide immediate assistance to countries threatened with famine.
Dr. Al-Zoubi adds that the outbreak of any war or crisis in eastern Ukraine, in addition to the closure of the ports, will lead to a shortage of global grain supplies. This shortage will in turn affect food security due to the difficulty of logistical work in light of the Corona epidemic and the diversion of the necessary quantities of wheat that depend on Ukrainian wheat.
Dr. Al-Zoubi indicates that the rise in wheat prices will start with the launch of the first Russian war on Ukraine, if it has not already started, in addition to the presence of an export deficit from the Ukrainian Black Sea ports adjacent to the area of military operations, and Ukraine has stopped exporting to preserve its people’s strategic stock during the war.
Any disruption to the flow of grain from the Black Sea region is likely to have a major impact on prices and add more fuel to food price inflation at a time when affordability is a major concern worldwide in the wake of the economic damage from the coronavirus pandemic.
The researcher in international issues, Dr. Abdul Karim Al-Ansi for Studio Now The Russian invasion of Ukraine will make violence across borders and threaten a crisis of mass hunger that knows no politics or economic conditions.
Dr. Al-Ansi asserts that the concern of investors and importers will raise international wheat prices, which have started to rise by 4 percent today, and some investors have started to leave Ukraine.
Al-Ansi points out that an American western operations room was created to find alternatives to Ukrainian wheat and Russian gas.